基于系统动力学的建筑碳排放预测研究

摘要

以系统动力学模型为基础分析建筑碳排放的影响因素,设置不同仿真情景预测建筑碳排放的未来发展趋势及其内在逻辑关系,进而为降低建筑能源消耗、减少碳排放总量、实现建筑的绿色可持续发展提供理论依据和减排路径.%Based on the system dynamics model,this paper analyzes the influencing factors of building carbon emissions,and sets up different simulation scenarios to predict the future development trend and internal logic relationship of building carbon emissions,which can provide theoretical guidance and countermeasures for reducing the building energy consumption,reducing the total amount of carbon emissions and realizing the green sustainable development of the building.