基于回归分析法的黑龙江省人口预测及应用

摘要

该文尝试用回归分析的方法，建立黑龙江省人口总数与时间的一元线性回归模型。并利用此模型分析该省近11年来的人口变化趋势，同时进行该省未来人口的预测和检验，此法是一种人口预测的有效方法，对于城市规划的科学性与严谨性，有着十分重要的意义。%The paper uses regression analysis method to establish linear regression model of the total population and time in Heilongjiang province. And using this model to analyze the nearly population trends of the province in recent 11 years, at the same time, forecasting and testing the province’s future population, this method is an effective method of population forecasting, for the scientific and rigor of ur-ban planning, it has a very important meaning.