Formalization of stochastic restrictions in risk assessment models of investment projects

摘要

Generally, investment decision is an evaluation of the proposed alternatives for the investor using a set of indicators. Evident, that to the start of the investment, the project should be finished and valid, however, search of investment resources and other difficulties can delay significantly start of the investment stage, which would increase risks. Therefore, it is important in addition to evaluating the traditional financial indicators of the project to identify and assess substantial risk of delayed investment project implementation, which is due to the variability of investment climate. The proposed method allows solving the task of investment projects selection under uncertainty and market competition and provides investors with information in probability sense about preferable projects because of the possibility of their timely implementation.