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Research on the Influence of Exchange Rate and Monetary Policy on RMB Internationalization

机译:汇率与货币政策对人民币国际化影响的研究

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The change in exchange rate and monetary policy is closely related to RMB internationalization. Based on the background of RMB internationalization, this paper empirically analyzes the influence of RMB exchange rate and monetary policy on RMB internationalization by establishing VAR model. The empirical results show that the change of RMB exchange rate has a negative impact on RMB internationalization. Besides, the money supply also has a negative impact on the degree of RMB internationalization, but the impact is less than that of the exchange rate. Moreover, in the short term, interest rate has a negative impact on RMB internationalization, but it has a positive impact in the medium and long term. Therefore, relevant departments should continue to implement prudent monetary policies, speed up the reform of interest rate marketization, carry out the reform of RMB exchange rate prudently, maintain the stability of RMB exchange rate, and ensure the smooth progress of RMB internationalization.
机译:汇率和货币政策的变化与人民币国际化密切相关。基于人民币国际化背景,本文通过建立VAR模型对人民币汇率及货币政策对人民币国际化的影响分析。经验结果表明,人民币汇率的变化对人民币国际化产生了负面影响。此外,货币供应也对人民币国际化程度产生负面影响,但施加的影响小于汇率。此外,在短期内,利率对人民币国际化产生负面影响,但它对中期和长期产生了积极影响。因此,有关部门应继续实施审慎的货币政策,加快利率改革市场化,开展人民币汇率改革审慎,保持人民币汇率的稳定,并确保人民币国际化进展顺利。

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