Study on the Evaluation of Social Stability Risk of Agricultural Transferring Populations Citizenization Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process

摘要

A large amount of agricultural populations are transferring to the city in the new citizenization process. Considering the large scale of such a group, the extensive regional as well as industrial distribution, and profound impact on the overall social stability, it is of great significance to accurately evaluate the social stability risk of the citizenization of agricultural populations. This essay applies the grounded theory to identify the corresponding social stability risk factors and studies the risk assessment of the social stability within the agricultural transferring populations based on the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (Fuzzy AHP). This paper constructs the risk evaluation index system by five kinds of first-level indicators and 14 second-level indicators, including political risk, social risk, institutional risk, security risk and perceived risk. The Fuzzy AHP comprehensive evaluation method is used to establish the social stability risk assessment model of the agricultural populations. We take the agricultural transferring populations in Heilongjiang Province as an example in this article and the empirical analysis shows that the risk of social stability is at a moderate risk level. This approach can avoid the one - sidedness of risk factor identification and the subjectivity of AHP.