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Incorporating Road Network Structures into Macro Level Traffic Safety Analysis

机译:将道路网络结构纳入宏观交通安全分析

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Traffic safety has received increasing attention. Many macro level safety models explore the relationship between crash occurrence and explanatory variables. Although road network pattern is an essential aspect for transportation planning, studies of its safety effect are limited. In this paper, the meshedness coefficient was used to mirror the network structure and examine its effect on traffic analysis zone (TAZ) level safety. Data of 662 TAZs from Orange County, Florida, U.S.A. were collected. A conditional autoregressive model which considers the spatial correlations among TAZs was developed. Estimation results showed the meshedness coefficient performed well in capturing the nature of network patterns, as well as in building relationship with zonal level crashes. This study indicates that, besides traditional network size variables such as road length, structure of road network should also be considered in developing more precise zonal safety prediction models.
机译:交通安全受到越来越多的关注。许多宏观层面的安全模型探索了碰撞发生与解释变量之间的关系。尽管道路网络模式是交通规划的重要方面,但对其安全性影响的研究仍然有限。本文使用网状系数来反映网络结构,并检查其对交通分析区(TAZ)级安全性的影响。收集了美国佛罗里达州奥兰治县的662个TAZ数据。建立了一个条件自回归模型,该模型考虑了TAZ之间的空间相关性。估计结果表明,网格度系数在捕获网络模式的性质以及与区域级崩溃的建立关系方面表现良好。这项研究表明,在开发更精确的区域安全预测模型时,除了传统的网络规模变量(如道路长度)外,还应考虑道路网络的结构。

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