Prediction of Aggregated-Scale COastal Evolution

摘要

The prediction of coastal behaviour at space and time scales which are much larger than the inherent dynamic scales of the system considered, is shown to be a non-triial task, in spite of the recent increase of process knowledge and mediumterm modelling expertise. The EU-funded project Prediction of Aggregated-Scale Coastal Evolution(PACE), in the framework of the Marine Science and Technology programe(MAST-III), has the objective to investigate and develop prediction methods for this large-scale behaviour. The paper summarizes the motivation this work and outlines the approaches taken in the project.