Extrusion load predicting device for coke oven, extrusion load prediction method, computer program, and computer-readable storage medium

摘要

PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To provide an extrusion load predictor for a coke oven that predicts occurrence of a sudden increase in the extrusion load.SOLUTION: The extrusion load predictor for the coke oven that predicts the occurrence of the sudden increase in the extrusion load comprises: a prediction model construction unit that constructs a prediction model for detecting a sudden increase in the extrusion load by ensemble learning using an operation result data as input information and a probability value at which an increment of the extrusion load is equal to or larger than a predetermined value as an output information, a sudden increase probability value calculation unit that calculates the probability value at which an increase amount of the extrusion load is equal to or larger than the predetermined value based on the prediction model using an operation record data measured on-line as input information, and a determination unit that determines the occurrence of the sudden increase in the extrusion load based on the probability value.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 4