A dynamic graph includes a plurality of nodes and edges at a plurality of time steps; each node corresponds to a geographic location in a first area where pest infestation information is available for a subset of locations. Each edge connects two of the nodes which are geographically proximate, has a direction based on wind direction, and has a weight based on relative wind speed. Assign node features based on weather data as well as labels corresponding to pest infestation severity. Train a graph convolutional network on the dynamic graph. Based on predicted future weather conditions for a second area different than the first area, use the trained graph convolutional network to predict, via inductive learning, pest infestation severity for future times for a new set of nodes corresponding to new geographic locations in the second area for which no pest infestation information is available.
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