Thermal storage amount prediction device , thermal storage amount prediction method and a program

摘要

[ PROBLEMS] To be able to predict the amount of heat storage accurately building . A thermal storage amount prediction device 10 , in the database 131 , heat storage amount of actual value , stores the outside air temperature and humidity values for the actual value and the number of visitors of every hour , the prediction model storage unit 134 , the outside air temperature and stores the temperature , the predictive model aimed variable heat storage amount to the value of explanatory variables on humidity and number of visitors in accordance with the . Prediction model estimation unit 115 , heat storage amount of actual value , the actual value of the outside air temperature , humidity of the actual value , based on the value and the prediction model for the number of visitors , estimated the regression coefficient of the explanatory variables and constants of the prediction model , predicting temperature acquiring unit 116 acquires the prediction values of the outside temperature , the humidity gets prediction acquiring unit 117 is the predicted value of the humidity , the heat storage amount prediction unit 118 , the regression coefficients , constant , outside air temperature and humidity values of the prediction , visitors by applying the predicted value of the value regarding the number to the prediction model to calculate a predicted value of the heat storage amount .