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use of analytical models to inform policy decisions

机译:使用分析模型为政策决策提供依据

摘要

Summary Using analytical models to inform policy decisions The power of analytical modeling is added to existing methods for policy specification. Generally speaking, humans use their knowledge and experience to make policy at a relatively high level. These policies then incorporate analytical models that provide the intelligence on how to best apply high-level policy to a particular situation. When a policy is invoked, the analytical model provides updated intelligence at a level of perfection and refinement not possible with prior techniques. As a result, fewer policies need to be elaborated, and those few need to be updated less frequently than under previous regimes. instead of updating the policy itself, the analytic model is automatically updated whenever new data is fed into it. As the analytical model incorporates new observational data, it becomes more powerful and thus automatically increases the effectiveness of high-level policy.
机译:小结使用分析模型为政策决策提供依据分析模型的功能已添加到现有的政策规范方法中。一般而言,人类会利用自己的知识和经验在较高水平上制定政策。然后,这些策略合并了分析模型,这些模型提供了有关如何将高级策略最佳地应用于特定情况的信息。调用策略时,分析模型将以现有技术无法实现的完善和完善级别提供更新的智能。结果,与以前的制度相比,需要制定的政策更少,并且更新的频率也更少。无需更新策略本身,只要有新数据输入,分析模型就会自动更新。随着分析模型结合了新的观测数据,它变得更加强大,从而自动提高了高级策略的有效性。

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