decision support method for issuing alerts and selecting mitigation actions parameterized by weather-climate decision index based on user preferences

摘要

The present invention relates to a decision support method for issuing alerts (105) and selecting mitigation actions (106) parameterized by transforming meteorological and / or climate information into a single decision index (102). A decision support method was developed from the global meteorological (idm) or climate (idc) decision index that is based on user preferences for three characteristics of meteorological-climate information: a) value of the meteorological variable- climatic; b) probability of occurrence; and c) validity period of meteorological-climatic information. The present invention was originally developed with aerospace meteorology as a field of application, as a motivation for rocket launch operations in space centers. However, the decision-making process under weather uncertainty is pertinent in other applications where weather or weather conditions may have some impact on activities.