PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION SYSTEM DISTRIBUTION ESTIMATION DEVICE, PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION SYSTEM DISTRIBUTION ESTIMATION METHOD, PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION SYSTEM DISTRIBUTION ESTIMATION PROGRAM, AND PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION OUTPUT PREDICTION DEVICE

摘要

To provide a photovoltaic power generation system distribution estimation device, a photovoltaic power generation system distribution estimation method, a photovoltaic power generation system distribution estimation program, and a photovoltaic power generation output prediction device that improve the accuracy of estimating the spatial distribution of a photovoltaic power generation system at low cost.SOLUTION: A true demand regression model generation unit 102 generates a true demand regression model representing a real demand that is a demand actually consumed by a customer in a predetermined area where a plurality of photovoltaic power generation systems are arranged. A PV output regression model generation unit 103 generates a PV output regression model representing the PV outputs of the plurality of photovoltaic power generation systems. A remaining demand obtaining unit 104 obtains the power generation amount generated by a generator other than the photovoltaic power generation system in the predetermined area. A system output coefficient calculation unit 105 calculates a system output coefficient at each point in the predetermined area on the basis of the true demand regression model, the PV output regression model, and the power generation amount.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1