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Informational Price Cascades and Non-aggregation of Asymmetric Information in Experimental Asset Markets

机译:实验性资产市场中的信息价格级联和非对称信息的非聚集

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摘要

We report on experimental markets for a contingent claim asset that eight subjects traded for nine periods before the state was revealed. There is an informative binary signal that arrives after each of the first eight trading rounds. In our baseline treatment the realization of the signal is public information, and in another treatment, market participants are randomly sequenced and receive the signal as private information. In the latter case, we observe zero information aggregation and prices lock in on home grown norms, which we call informational price cascades. We test the fragility of the price cascades in two further treatments. First, we break the monopoly on each signal by revealing it to two subjects, and then we increase that number to four. It is only when we inform four participants, or one-half of the market, that cascades fail to form and information starts to aggregate in the market.
机译:我们报告了一种或有理赔资产的实验市场,该资产在揭露状态之前有8个对象交易了9个时期。在前八个交易回合中的每个回合之后都有一个信息量大的二进制信号到达。在我们的基准处理中,信号的实现是公共信息,而在另一种处理中,市场参与者被随机排序并以私人信息的形式接收信号。在后一种情况下,我们观察到零信息汇总,并且价格锁定了本地制定的规范,我们称其为信息价格级联。我们在另外两种处理方法中测试了价格级联的脆弱性。首先,我们通过将每个信号揭示给两个主题来打破对每个信号的垄断,然后将其增加到四个。只有当我们告知四个参与者或市场的一半时,级联才能形成并且信息开始在市场中聚集。

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