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Affine Arithmetic Based Methods for Power Systems Analysis Considering Intermittent Sources of Power

机译:考虑电源间歇性的基于仿射算术的电力系统分析方法

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摘要

Intermittent power sources such as wind and solar are increasingly penetrating electrical grids, mainly motivated by global warming concerns and government policies. These intermittent and non-dispatchable sources of power affect the operation and control of the power system because of the uncertainties associated with their output power. Depending on the penetration level of intermittent sources of power, the electric grid may experience considerable changes in power flows and synchronizing torques associated with system stability, because of the variability of the power injections, among several other factors. Thus, adequate and efficient techniques are required to properly analyze the system stability under such uncertainties.A variety of methods are available in the literature to perform power flow, transient, and voltage stability analyses considering uncertainties associated with electrical parameters. Some of these methods are computationally inefficient and require assumptions regarding the probability density functions (pdfs) of the uncertain variables that may be unrealistic in some cases. Thus, this thesis proposes computationally efficient Affine Arithmetic (AA)-based approaches for voltage and transient stability assessment of power systems, considering uncertainties associated with power injections due to intermittent sources of power. In the proposed AA-based methods, the estimation of the output power of the intermittent sources and their associated uncertainty are modeled as intervals, without any need for assumptions regarding pdfs. This is a more desirable characteristic when dealing with intermittent sources of power, since the pdfs of the output power depends on the planning horizon and prediction method, among several other factors. The proposed AA-based approaches take into account the correlations among variables, thus avoiding error explosions attributed to other self-validated techniques such as Interval Arithmetic (IA).
机译:诸如风能和太阳能之类的间歇性电源正越来越多地渗透到电网中,这主要是受到全球变暖问题和政府政策的推动。由于它们的输出功率相关的不确定性,这些间歇且不可分配的功率源影响电力系统的操作和控制。取决于间歇性电源的穿透水平,由于功率注入的可变性以及其他一些因素,电网可能会经历功率流的显着变化以及与系统稳定性相关的同步转矩。因此,需要适当而有效的技术来适当地分析在这种不确定性下的系统稳定性。文献中有多种方法可用于考虑与电参数相关的不确定性来执行功率流,瞬态和电压稳定性分析。这些方法中的一些方法在计算上效率低下,并且需要对不确定变量的概率密度函数(pdf)进行假设,这些不确定性在某些情况下可能是不现实的。因此,本文提出了一种基于计算效率高的仿射算术(AA)的方法,用于电力系统的电压和暂态稳定性评估,同时考虑了由于间歇性电源引起的电力注入相关的不确定性。在所提出的基于AA的方法中,将间歇源的输出功率及其相关不确定性的估计建模为间隔,而无需进行关于pdf的假设。在处理间歇性电源时,这是一个更理想的特性,因为输出功率的pdf取决于规划范围和预测方法以及其他因素。所提出的基于AA的方法考虑了变量之间的相关性,从而避免了归因于其他自验证技术(例如区间算术(IA))的错误爆炸。

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    Munoz Guerrero Juan Carlos;

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  • 年度 2013
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