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Mechanisms Governing the Eyewall Replacement Cycle in Numerical Simulations of Tropical Cyclones

机译:关于热带气旋数值模拟中眼墙置换周期的机制

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摘要

Eyewall replacement cycle (ERC) is frequently observed during the evolution of intensifying Tropical Cyclones (TCs). Although intensely studied in recent years, the underlying mechanisms of ERC are still poorly understood, and the forecast of ERC remains a great challenge. To advance our understanding of ERC and provide insights in improvement of numerical forecast of ERC, a series of numerical simulations is performed to investigate ERCs in TC-like vortices on a f-plane. The simulated ERCs possess key features similar to those observed in real TCs including the formation of a secondary tangential wind maximum associated with the outer eyewall. The Sawyer-Eliassen equation and tangential momentum budget analyses are performed to diagnose the mechanisms underlying the secondary eyewall formation (SEF) and ERC. Our diagnoses reveal crucial roles of outer rainband heating in governing the formation and development of the secondary tangential wind maximum and demonstrate that the outer rainband convection must reach a critical strength relative to the eyewall before SEF and the subsequent ERC can occur. A positive feedback among low-level convection, acceleration of tangential winds in the boundary layer, and surface evaporation that leads to the development of ERC and a mechanism for the demise of inner eyewall that involves interaction between the transverse circulations induced by eyewall and outer rainband convection are proposed. The tangential momentum budget indicates that the net tendency of tangential wind is a small residual resultant from a large cancellation between tendencies induced by the resolved and sub-grid scale (SGS) processes. The large SGS contribution to the tangential wind budget explains different characteristics of ERC shown in previous numerical studies and poses a great challenge for a timely correct forecast of ERC. The sensitivity experiments show that ERCs are strongly subjected to model physics, vortex radial structure and background wind. The impact of model physics on ERC can be well understood with the interaction among eyewall/outer rainband heating, radilal inflow in the boundary layer, surface layer turbulent processes, and shallow convection in the moat. However, further investigations are needed to fully understand the exhibited sensitivities of ERC to vortex radial structure and background wind.
机译:在加强热带气旋(TCs)演变过程中经常观察到眼墙更换周期(ERC)。尽管近年来进行了深入研究,但对ERC的潜在机制仍知之甚少,对ERC的预测仍然是一个巨大的挑战。为了增进我们对ERC的理解并为改进ERC的数值预报提供见识,进行了一系列数值模拟以研究f平面上TC样涡旋中的ERC。模拟的ERC具有与实际TC中观察到的相似的关键特征,包括与外眼墙相关联的次级切向风最大值的形成。进行Sawyer-Eliassen方程和切向动量预算分析,以诊断次生眼壁形成(SEF)和ERC的机理。我们的诊断揭示了外部雨带加热在控制次级切向风最大值的形成和发展中的关键作用,并表明在SEF和随后的ERC发生之前,外部雨带对流必须相对于眼墙达到临界强度。低水平对流,边界层切向风加速和表面蒸发之间的正反馈,导致ERC的发展以及内眼壁消亡的机制,其中涉及眼壁和外雨带引起的横向循环之间的相互作用建议对流。切向动量预算表明,切向风的净趋势是由分解网格和次网格规模(SGS)过程引起的趋势之间的较大抵消所导致的较小残留。 SGS对切向风收支的巨大贡献解释了先前数值研究中显示的ERC的不同特征,并对及时正确预测ERC提出了巨大挑战。敏感性实验表明,ERC受模型物理,涡旋径向结构和背景风的强烈影响。通过眼墙/外部雨带加热,边界层中的径向流入,表层湍流过程以及护城河中的浅对流之间的相互作用,可以很好地理解模型物理对ERC的影响。但是,需要进一步研究以完全理解ERC对涡旋径向结构和背景风的敏感性。

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    zhu zhenduo;

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