首页> 外文OA文献 >Summer Climate Variability during the Past 1200 Years in Central Scandinavia – A Tree-Ring Perspective
【2h】

Summer Climate Variability during the Past 1200 Years in Central Scandinavia – A Tree-Ring Perspective

机译:斯堪的纳维亚中部地区过去1200年的夏季气候变化 - 树木年轮视角

代理获取
本网站仅为用户提供外文OA文献查询和代理获取服务,本网站没有原文。下单后我们将采用程序或人工为您竭诚获取高质量的原文,但由于OA文献来源多样且变更频繁,仍可能出现获取不到、文献不完整或与标题不符等情况,如果获取不到我们将提供退款服务。请知悉。
获取外文期刊封面目录资料

摘要

To set the current 20th century warming in a long-term context, significant efforts have been made to reconstruct hemispheric-to-global temperatures beyond the instrumental period. Tree-rings, which have annual resolution and can be precisely dated, have been widely used to infer past climate variability. In Fennoscandia, tree-ring maximum latewood density (MXD) provides so far the best high-resolution natural archive of summer temperature, and has been used to infer regional temperature variability for the last millennium. However, most of the temperature reconstructions have been based on data from northern Fennoscandia. In central Scandinavia, MXD based temperature reconstructions have not been able to reach the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA) when the climate conditions in some regions are analogue to the current warming, but without strong influences from human activities. This is a key period to evaluate if current warming can be reached without anthropogenic influences.To improve our understanding of past summer climate variability in central Scandinavia, in this thesis work, efforts were made to 1) find Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) tree-ring samples from the central Scandinavian Mountains to increase the sample replication before 1750 CE and to extend it over the MCA, 2) examine if tree-ring data can represent annual conditions by comparing annual and summer temperature variability at different timescales in central Scandinavia. The results show that the local tree line in central Scandinavia during the MCA and early Little Ice Age (LIA) was about 140 m higher than at present. The temperature sensitivity of pine growth might be dampened by more humid growth condition. The result implies that temperature reconstructions predominantly based on the tree-ring widths from lake-shores may need to be re-evaluated. Focusing on tree-ring density, it was shown that mean absolute MXD values varied notably with elevation, with higher elevation having lower MXD values due to occurrence of the temperature gradients along altitudes. Heterogeneous temporal distribution of tree-ring samples at different elevations could seriously bias the long-term trend of the temperature reconstruction based on these samples. A mean-adjustment method was developed to overcome this bias. The reconstruction based on unadjusted data yielded 0.4°C lower average warm-season temperature during the period 850-1200 compared to the mean-adjusted reconstruction. The new warm-season (April-September) temperature reconstruction in central Scandinavia covering 850-2011, suggests a MCA during ca. 1000-1100, followed by a transition period before the onset of the LIA proper in the mid-16th century. During the past 1200 years, the late 17th century to early 19th century was the coldest period in central Scandinavia, and the warmest 100 years occurred during the 20th century. The new reconstruction suggests lower temperature during the late MCA (ca. 1100-1220) and higher temperature during the LIA (1610-1850) than the previous reconstruction, and shows regional differences in temperature evolution between northern and central Scandinavia before 1300 CE. Overall colder climate conditions are recorded in central Scandinavia before 1200 CE and warmer conditions during 1200-1300 leading to a mismatch in phase at multidecadal to century timescales before 1300 CE. During 1100-1250, central Scandinavia is dominated by warm, cloudy and wet summer conditions, while during the LIA the region was dominated by cold and sunny summers and partly wet conditions. The transition period between the MCA and LIA (around 1350-1550) was dominated by relatively dry conditions. During this period, temperatures were positively correlated with sunshine hours at multidecadal to century timescales, which was different from MCA and LIA. For central Scandinavia, the summer temperature overall is not a good ‘proxy’ for the annual temperature especially at the 2-16 year timescales.
机译:为了长期保持当前的20世纪变暖,人们已经做出了巨大的努力来重建仪器时期以外的半球到全球温度。具有年分辨率并可以精确标定日期的年轮已被广泛用于推断过去的气候变化。在芬诺斯坎迪亚(Fennoscandia),树轮最大的晚木密度(MXD)提供了迄今为止最佳的夏季温度高分辨率自然档案,并已用于推断最近一千年的区域温度变化。然而,大多数温度重建都是基于北部芬诺斯坎迪亚的数据。在斯堪的纳维亚中部,当某些地区的气候条件类似于当前的气候变暖,但不受人类活动的强烈影响时,基于MXD的温度重建无法达到中世纪气候异常(MCA)。这是评估是否可以在没有人为影响的情况下实现当前变暖的关键时期。为了增进我们对斯堪的纳维亚半岛中部过去夏季气候变化的了解,在本文中,我们努力进行以下工作:1)找到苏格兰松(Pinus sylvestris L.)。来自斯堪的纳维亚山脉中部的树木年轮样本,以增加1750年之前的样本复制并扩展到MCA上,2)通过比较斯堪的纳维亚中部不同时间尺度的年和夏季温度变化,检查树木年轮数据是否可以代表年况。结果表明,在MCA和早期小冰期(LIA)期间,斯堪的纳维亚半岛中部的局部树线比目前高140 m。较潮湿的生长条件可能会减弱松树生长的温度敏感性。结果表明,主要基于湖岸树木年轮宽度的温度重建可能需要重新评估。着眼于树木年轮的密度,结果表明,平均MXD绝对值随海拔高度显着变化,由于海拔高度梯度的出现,较高的海拔高度具有较低的MXD值。不同海拔高度的年轮样本的时间分布异质性可能严重偏重基于这些样本的温度重建的长期趋势。开发了一种均值调整方法来克服这种偏差。与平均调整后的重建相比,基于未调整数据的重建在850-1200年期间产生的平均暖季温度低0.4°C。斯堪的那维亚中部新的暖季(4月至9月)温度重建覆盖了850-2011年,这表明大约在2003年有一次MCA。 1000-1100年,然后是16世纪中叶LIA正式出现之前的过渡时期。在过去的1200年中,17世纪末至19世纪初是斯堪的纳维亚半岛中部最冷的时期,最温暖的100年发生在20世纪。新的重建表明,MCA晚期(约1100-1220年)的温度较低,而LIA形成的时期(1610-1850年)的温度高于先前的重建,并显示了1300 CE之前斯堪的那维亚北部和中部之间温度演化的区域差异。斯堪的那维亚中部在1200 CE之前记录了总体较冷的气候条件,而在1200-1300期间则记录了较暖的条件,从而导致1300 CE之前的数十年代至世纪的时间尺度上相位不匹配。在1100-1250年期间,斯堪的纳维亚中部地区以温暖,多云和潮湿的夏季条件为主,而在LIA期间,该地区则以寒冷和阳光明媚的夏季以及部分潮湿的条件为主。 MCA和LIA之间的过渡期(大约在1350-1550年)主要由相对干燥的条件决定。在此期间,温度与日照时间呈正相关,在数十年到世纪的时间尺度上,这与MCA和LIA不同。对于斯堪的纳维亚中部地区,夏季温度总体而言不是全年温度的良好“代理”,尤其是在2-16年的时间范围内。

著录项

  • 作者

    Zhang Peng;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2015
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号