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The Impact of a Target on Newsvendor Decisions

机译:目标对报童决策的影响

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摘要

Goal achieving is a commonly observed phenomenon in practice, and it plays an important role in decision making. In this paper, we investigate the impact of a target on newsvendor decisions. We take into account the risk and model the effect of a target by maximizing the satisficing measure of a newsvendor’s profit with respect to that target. We study two satisficing measures: (i) conditional value at risk (CVaR) satisficing measure that evaluates the highest confidence level of CVaR achieving the target; (ii) entropic satisficing measure that assesses the smallest risk tolerance level under which the certainty equivalent for exponential utility function achieves the target. For both satisficing measures, we find that the optimal ordering quantity increases with the target level. We determine an optimal order quantity for a target-based newsvendor and characterize its properties with respect to, for example, product’s profit margin.
机译:目标实现是实践中普遍观察到的现象,并且在决策中起着重要作用。在本文中,我们调查了目标对新闻供应商决策的影响。我们会考虑风险,并通过使新闻卖方的利润相对于该目标的满意度达到最大程度来模拟目标的效果。我们研究了两种令人满意的措施:(i)条件风险价值(CVaR)令人满意的措施,用于评估实现目标的CVaR的最高置信度; (ii)评估满足最小风险承受能力水平的熵满足量度,在该最小承受力水平下,指数效用函数的确定性等价物达到了目标。对于这两种令人满意的措施,我们发现最佳订购量随目标水平的增加而增加。我们为基于目标的新闻发布商确定最佳订单数量,并根据产品的利润率来表征其属性。

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