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Estimating commuter rail demand to Kendall Square along the Grand Junction Corridor

机译:估算通往大章克申走廊的肯德尔广场的通勤铁路需求

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摘要

Since acquiring the Grand Junction Railroad in June 2010 from CSX, the Massachusetts Bay Transit Authority (MBTA) has explored the possibility of using the line for commuter rail service. In addition the Grand Junction right-of-way has been the subject of other proposals, including a multi-use path by the City of Cambridge and a Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) line as part of the MBTA's Urban Ring study. In September of 2010, our team was asked to examine the possibility of adding passenger service along the Grand Junction Railroad in Cambridge, MA. This new service would allow the current Worcester/Framingham commuter rail line to serve both North and South stations. In response, we performed an analysis based on the existing conditions of the railroad and projected future growth of the Kendall Square business area. To perform this analysis a demand model was developed using the 2010 MIT Transportation Survey and 2000 Census Bureau Journey to Work data. The demand model was used to forecast ridership on the Grand Junction Railroad, for multiple alternatives which included the addition of a commuter rail station at Kendall Square, use of diesel multiple units to improve frequency, and a short high frequency route starting at Auburndale. The results of the analysis demonstrate that a high frequency service from Worcester along the Grand Junction Corridor attracts the most riders, approximately 1,800 peak morning commuters. With the Auburndale service and lower frequency Worcester trains having moderate ridership estimates. This forecast combined four types of riders: new inbound riders to Kendall Square, redirected inbound riders to Kendall Square, new inbound riders to Boston, and redirected reverse riders from North Station. In addition to demonstrating how the demand model and the rider survey dataset were developed this report provides a framework for a more detailed study into potential uses for passenger service along the Grand Junction Railroad.
机译:自2010年6月从CSX收购大章克申铁路以来,马萨诸塞州海湾运输局(MBTA)一直在探索将这条线路用于通勤铁路服务的可能性。此外,大章克申的通行权还成为其他提案的主题,其中包括剑桥市的多用途道路和作为MBTA都市圈研究的一部分的快速公交(BRT)线路。 2010年9月,我们的团队被要求研究在马萨诸塞州剑桥市的大章克申铁路上增加客运服务的可能性。这项新服务将允许当前的伍斯特/弗拉明汉通勤铁路线同时服务于北部和南部车站。作为回应,我们根据铁路的现有状况以及肯德尔广场商业区的未来增长进行了分析。为了执行此分析,使用2010年MIT交通运输调查和2000年人口普查局工作之旅数据开发了需求模型。需求模型用于预测大章克申铁路的乘车率,有多种选择,包括在肯德尔广场增加通勤火车站,使用柴油多个装置改善频率以及从奥本代尔开始的短高频路线。分析结果表明,伍斯特沿大章克申走廊的高频列车吸引了最多的乘客,大约是1,800名高峰早班乘客。借助Auburndale服务和较低频率的伍斯特列车,其乘车率估计值适中。此预测组合了四种类型的骑手:新的入站骑手到Kendall广场,新的入站骑手到Kendall广场,新的入站骑手到波士顿和从北站重定向的反向骑手。除了说明需求模型和车手调查数据集是如何开发的之外,本报告还提供了一个框架,可用于更详细地研究大章克申铁路沿线客运服务的潜在用途。

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  • 作者

    Bockelie Adam; Dohm James;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2012
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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