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A quantitative methodology for mapping project costs to engineering decisions in naval ship design and procurement

机译:用于将项目成本映射到海军舰艇设计和采购中的工程决策的定量方法

摘要

Alternative methods for cost estimation are important in the early conceptual stages of a design when there is not enough detail to allow for a traditional quantity takeoff estimate to be performed. Much of the budgeting process takes place during the early stages of a design and it is important to be able to develop a budget quality estimate so a design is allocated the necessary resources to meet stakeholder requirements. Accurate project cost estimates early in the planning and design processes can also serve as a cost-control measure to assist in managing the design process. With an understanding of the most significant engineering decisions that affect project costs, project team members and stakeholders can proactively make cost-effective decisions during the design process rather than after construction begins and it is too late to prevent going over budget. This research examines the potential of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) as a tool to support the tasks of cost prediction, mapping costs to engineering decisions, and risk management during the early stages of a design's life-cycle. ANNs are a modeling tool based on the computational paradigm of the human brain and have proved to be a robust and reliable method for prediction, ranking, classification, and interpretation or processing of data.
机译:在设计的早期概念阶段,当没有足够的细节来执行传统的数量估算时,替代的成本估算方法非常重要。大部分预算过程发生在设计的早期阶段,因此能够制定预算质量估算很重要,因此可以为设计分配必要的资源以满足利益相关者的要求。在规划和设计过程的早期,准确的项目成本估算也可以用作成本控制措施,以帮助管理设计过程。了解影响项目成本的最重要的工程决策后,项目团队成员和利益相关者可以在设计过程中而不是在施工开始后主动制定具有成本效益的决策,为时已晚,要防止超出预算。这项研究探讨了人工神经网络(ANN)作为支持成本预测任务,将成本映射到工程决策以及在设计生命周期的早期阶段进行风险管理的工具的潜力。人工神经网络是一种基于人脑计算范例的建模工具,并已被证明是一种可靠,可靠的方法,可用于数据的预测,排名,分类以及解释或处理。

著录项

  • 作者

    Netemeyer Kristopher David;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2010
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类

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