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Sensitivity on Battery Prices and Capacity on board Electric Drive Vehicles and the Effects on the Power System Configuration

机译:对电动车辆的电池价格和容量的敏感性以及对电力系统配置的影响

摘要

Energy systems are significantly vulnerable to current climate variability and extreme events. As climate change becomes more pronounced, the risks and vulnerabilities will be exacerbated. To date, energy sector adaptation issues have received very limited attention. In this paper, a climate risk management framework is used as the basis for identifying key challenges and opportunities to enhance the integration of climate change adaptation in energy planning and decision-making. Given its importance for raising awareness and for stimulating action by planners and decision-makers, emphasis is placed on reviewing the current knowledge on risks and vulnerabilities of energy systems and on potential adaptation options. The paper finds that short and longer term action on climate risk management of energy systems strongly depends on: Strengthening the capacity to model and project climate change and its impacts at local and regional scales; improving the geographical coverage of risk, vulnerability and adaptation assessments, and the availability of systematic and integrated assessments; and, providing information and guidance in a form appropriate for planners and decision makers. Another important area concerns establishing improved understanding of potential trade-offs and synergies between energy system adaptation and mitigation options, and adaptation and development prospects in other sectors or areas. Finally, improved knowledge on damage costs, and adaptation costs and benefits is likely to remove barriers to integration of climate risks and adaptive responses in energy planning and decision making. Both detailed assessments of the costs and benefits of integrating adaptation measures and rougher ‘order of magnitude’ estimates would enhance awareness raising and momentum for action.
机译:能源系统极易受到当前气候变化和极端事件的影响。随着气候变化的加剧,风险和脆弱性将加剧。迄今为止,能源部门的适应问题受到的关注非常有限。在本文中,气候风险管理框架被用作识别关键挑战和机遇的基础,以加强气候变化适应在能源规划和决策中的整合。鉴于其对于提高意识以及促进计划制定者和决策者采取行动的重要性,重点放在审查有关能源系统风险和脆弱性以及潜在适应方案的当前知识上。该论文发现,能源系统气候风险管理的短期和长期行动在很大程度上取决于:加强对气候变化及其在地方和区域范围的影响进行建模和预测的能力;提高风险,脆弱性和适应性评估的地域覆盖范围,并提供系统和综合评估;并且以适合计划者和决策者的形式提供信息和指导。另一个重要领域涉及建立对能源系统适应和缓解方案之间的潜在折衷和协同作用以及其他部门或领域的适应与发展前景的更好的理解。最后,提高对损害成本以及适应成本和收益的认识可能会消除在能源规划和决策中整合气候风险和适应性应对措施的障碍。对整合适应措施的成本和收益进行详尽的评估,以及进行更粗略的“数量级”估计,都将增强意识的提高和采取行动的动力。

著录项

  • 作者

    Juul Nina;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2011
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类

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