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The effect of the Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium on surrounding house prices: a hedonic analysis

机译:纳尔逊曼德拉湾体育场对周围房价的影响:享乐主义分析

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摘要

Sports facilities increasingly feature amongst the most expensive development projects world-wide. One such facility includes world-class stadia. Such facilities tend to commit a considerably large amount of a country's public funds to the project. This public expenditure on new stadia, and the required public taxation, may be economically justified if the benefits from the new stadia outweigh the costs. 15 May 2004 saw South Africa winning the bid to host the FIFA 2010 Soccer World Cup tournament. This mega-event was played in 10 stadia across nine chosen host cities. Five of these stadia were newly constructed, while the other five needed upgrading. Both South Africa's national government and local governments of host cities bore the expenses of the new stadia construction and the upgrading to the existing stadia. This amounted to a total public expenditure of R13.5295 billion on the stadia alone. The Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium on the banks of the North End Lake in Port Elizabeth was amongst the five newly constructed stadia costing R1.7 billion. Many international studies have been conducted to assess the impact of new stadia on the economies of host cities. One particular aspect which has received a lot of attention as far as empirical research is concerned is the impact of stadia on residential property prices (Carlino & Couslon, 2004; Davies, 2005; Tu, 2005; Coates & Humphreys, 2006; Ahlfeldt & Maennig, 2007, 2010; Dehring, Depken & Ward, 2007; Feng & Humphreys, 2008, 2012; Kavetsos, 2010; Ahlfeldt, Maennig & Scholz, 2010; Kiel, Matheson & Sullivan, 2010; Ahlfeldt & Kavetsos, 2011; Coates & Matheson, 2011). The majority of the studies conducted have indicated that the presence of a new stadium in an area has a significantly positive effect on surrounding house values that decays with distance from the facility. As no study has yet been done in South Africa to investigate the impact of the announcement of the construction of new stadia on nearby residential property values, this study examines, by means of the hedonic pricing model, the effect of the announcement to construct the Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium on the banks of North End Lake on adjacent residential property values. The study period for this study was 2004 - 2006. This time period captured the stadium announcement effect. The residential properties in North End that were traded at least once during the period 2004 to 2006 made up the target population. According to the South African Property Transfer Guide (SAPTG), a total of 417 property transactions (excluding repeat sales) took place over the study period (2004 - 2006). The 417 transactions were deemed to be the size of the target population and a list of 100 property transactions were used as the sampling frame. As the study period was from 2004 - 2006, it was necessary to adjust the market prices to constant 2006 prices. For this purpose, data from the Port Elizabeth and Uitenhage section of the ABSA house price indices were used so as to eliminate any inflationary effects on the property values over the study period. The results of the study revealed that the stadium has a statistically significant positive effect on adjacent residential properties situated within a 1 200 metres radius from the stadium. The average owner of a residential property in North End would be willing-to-pay between R10 7898 and R11 704.6 to be situated 435 metres closer to the stadium.
机译:体育设施日益成为全球最昂贵的开发项目之一。这样的设施之一就是世界一流的体育场。这些设施往往会为该项目投入大量的国家公共资金。如果新体育场的收益大于成本,则在新体育场上的这种公共支出和所需的公共税收可能在经济上是合理的。 2004年5月15日,南非赢得了主办2010年FIFA足球世界杯比赛的竞标。这项大型活动在选定的9个主办城市的10个体育场进行。这些体育场中有五个是新建的,而其他五个需要升级。南非国家政府和所在城市的地方政府都承担了新球场建设和升级到现有球场的费用。仅体育场地上的公共总支出为132.295亿兰特。伊丽莎白港北端湖畔的纳尔逊·曼德拉湾体育馆是五个耗资17亿兰特的新建体育场。已经进行了许多国际研究,以评估新体育场对所在城市经济的影响。就经验研究而言,备受关注的一个特殊方面是体育场对住宅房地产价格的影响(Carlino&Couslon,2004; Davies,2005; Tu,2005; Coates&Humphreys,2006; Ahlfeldt&Maennig ,2007,2010; Dehring,Depken&Ward,2007; Feng和Humphreys,2008,2012; Kavetsos,2010; Ahlfeldt,Maennig&Scholz,2010; Kiel,Matheson&Sullivan,2010; Ahlfeldt&Kavetsos,2011; Coates&Matheson ,2011)。进行的大多数研究表明,一个地区中新球场的存在对周围房屋价值产生了显着的积极影响,房屋价值随距设施的距离而衰减。由于南非尚未进行任何研究来调查宣布新体育场的建设对附近住宅物业价值的影响,因此本研究通过享乐定价模型研究了宣布建设尼尔森的影响位于北端湖畔的曼德拉湾体育场,毗邻住宅物业。本研究的研究期间为2004年-2006年。该时期体现了体育场宣告的效果。北端的住宅物业在2004年至2006年期间至少交易了一次,构成了目标人群。根据《南非财产转让指南》(SAPTG),在研究期间(2004年至2006年),共发生了417宗房地产交易(不包括重复销售)。 417笔交易被认为是目标人口的规模,并且使用100笔房地产交易清单作为抽样框架。由于研究期为2004年至2006年,因此有必要将市场价格调整为2006年不变价格。为此,使用了ABSA房价指数的伊丽莎白港和Uitenhage部分的数据,以消除研究期间对房地产价值的任何通货膨胀影响。研究结果表明,体育场对距体育场1200米半径内的相邻住宅物业具有统计学上显着的积极影响。北端一处住宅物业的平均所有者愿意支付的价格为R10 7898和R11 704.6,距离体育场更近435米。

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    Fernandes Gladys Nicola;

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  • 年度 2013
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