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Counterparty credit risk under credit risk contagion using time-homogeneous phase-type distribution

机译:使用时间同质相分布的信用风险传染下的交易对手信用风险

摘要

With the current situation of credit spread contagion illustrated by the European sovereign bonds crisis and the chain reaction triggered by the derivatives books of Lehman Brothers, financial institutions have increasingly focused on pricing and risk management of counterparty creditudrisk. Recent credit contagion through financial contingent claims highlight the fact that contagion links impact the value of products when investors are exposed to counterparty risk.udThis thesis plan to build on reduced-form credit risk models to assess the credit risk contagion that is inherent in a obligor multivariate framework. The aim is to evaluate the requirements that are necessary in generating a mathematical framework consistent with the valuation of financialudclaims, credit and non-credit related, where the parties of those claims exhibit credit risk contagion.udBy applying a multivariate framework of credit contagion to counterparty credit risk based on a queueing theory, called phase-type distribution, we hope to highlight the benefit of bottom-up models versus top-down ones in terms of extracting information relative to dependence within an identi able obligor set. We will review the mathematical literature in addressing credit dependenceudmodelling in dynamic and static format. This will be the opportunity to value a set of claims under our model to show that claims that contain "credit leverage" are particularly sensible to credit risk contagion and could benefit from our developed framework to gain adequate counterparty credit risk pricing.
机译:随着欧洲主权债券危机说明信贷扩散蔓延的现状,以及雷曼兄弟(Lehman Brothers)衍生工具书引发的连锁反应,金融机构越来越关注对手方信贷风险的定价和风险管理。最近通过财务或有债权引起的信贷危机蔓延凸显了这样一个事实:当投资者承受交易对手风险时,危机蔓延的联系会影响产品的价值。强制性多元框架。目的是评估在生成与财务 udclaim,信贷和非信贷相关的估值一致的数学框架时所必需的要求,这些债权的当事方表现出信贷风险传染。 ud通过应用多元信贷框架基于一种称为阶段类型分布的排队理论,它可以扩展到交易对手信用风险,我们希望突出显示自下而上模型相对于自上而下模型在从可识别债务人集合中提取与依赖相关的信息方面的优势。我们将回顾有关解决动态和静态格式的信用依赖 udmodeling的数学文献。这将是根据我们的模型对一组债权进行估值的机会,以表明包含“信贷杠杆”的债权对信贷风险蔓延特别敏感,并且可以受益于我们开发的框架来获得足够的交易对手信贷风险定价。

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    Nowicki Pierre;

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  • 年度 2016
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