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Data Integration and Predictive Analysis System for Disease Prophylaxis: Incorporating Dengue Fever Forecasts

机译:用于疾病预防的数据集成和预测分析系统:纳入登革热预测

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摘要

The goal of the Data Integration and Predictive Analysis System (IPAS) is to enable prediction, analysis, and response management for incidents of infectious diseases. IPAS collects and integrates comprehensive datasets of previous disease incidents and potential influencing factors to facilitate multivariate, predictive analysis of disease patterns, intensity, and timing. We have used the IPAS technology to generate successful forecasts for Influenza Like Illness (ILI). In this study, IPAS was expanded to forecast Dengue fever in the cities of San Juan, Puerto Rico and Iquitos, Peru. Data provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) was processed and used to generate prediction models. Predictions were developed with modern machine learning algorithms, identifying the one-week and four-week forecast of Dengue incidences in each city. Prediction model results are presented along with the features of the IPAS system.
机译:数据集成和预测分析系统(IPAS)的目标是实现对传染病事件的预测,分析和响应管理。 IPAS收集并整合了先前疾病事件和潜在影响因素的综合数据集,以促进对疾病模式,强度和时间的多变量,预测性分析。我们已经使用IPAS技术为流感样疾病(ILI)生成成功的预测。在这项研究中,将IPAS扩展到预测秘鲁波多黎各圣胡安和伊基托斯等城市的登革热。由美国国家海洋和大气管理局(NOAA)提供的数据经过处理,并用于生成预测模型。使用现代机器学习算法开发了预测,可以确定每个城市对登革热发病率的一周和四周预测。给出了预测模型的结果以及IPAS系统的功能。

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