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The Dynamic Linkage between CO2 emissions, Economic Growth, Renewable Energy Consumption, Number of Tourist Arrivals and Trade

机译:二氧化碳排放,经济增长,可再生能源消费,旅游人数和贸易之间的动态联系

摘要

This study explores the relationship between carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, economic growth, renewable energy consumption, the number of tourist arrivals and trade in Central and South America spanning the period 1995-2010. We apply panel cointegration techniques and panel Granger causality tests to investigate the relationship across the variables both in the short- and in the long-run. The empirical findings reveal the presence of a long-run relationship across the variables under investigation. Furthermore, short-run dynamics show a unidirectional causality running from renewable energy consumption to CO2 emissions and from renewable energy consumption to trade. In addition, there is a unidirectional short-run causal link without feedback effects from economic growth to trade and the number of tourist arrivals as well as a unidirectional causality running from the number of tourist arrivals to trade. In the long-run, there is evidence of bidirectional causality between emissions, renewable energy consumption and the number of tourist arrivals. Long-run estimates highlight that both the number of tourist arrivals and renewable energy consumption contribute to the reduction of emissions, while both real GDP and trade contribute to the increase of emissions.
机译:这项研究探讨了1995年至2010年期间中美洲和南美洲的二氧化碳(CO2)排放,经济增长,可再生能源消耗,游客人数和贸易之间的关系。我们应用面板协整技术和面板Granger因果关系检验来研究短期和长期内变量之间的关系。实证结果表明,所研究的变量之间存在长期关系。此外,短期动态显示出从可再生能源消耗到CO2排放以及从可再生能源消耗到贸易的单向因果关系。此外,存在单向短期因果关系,而没有经济增长到贸易和游客入境人数的反馈影响,以及从游客入境到贸易人数的单向因果关系。从长远来看,有证据表明排放量,可再生能源消耗与游客人数之间存在双向因果关系。长期估计表明,游客人数和可再生能源消耗都有助于减少排放,而实际国内生产总值和贸易都有助于增加排放。

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