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Exchange rate pass-through and volatility: Impacts on domestic prices in four Asian countries

机译:汇率传递和波动:四个亚洲国家对国内价格的影响

摘要

The paper undertakes a comparative empirical analysis on the effects of shocks on domestic prices in four Asian countries before and after the financial crisis of 1997. We apply two different estimation methodologies, namely a structural VAR and a single equation approach. The results of the two methods are consistent, although the magnitude of the elasticities of the exchange rate pass-through are different due to the inclusion of different variables, lag terms and different assumptions made in both methods. The results show that the degrees of the exchange rate pass-through are different across countries and over time. In most cases, the pass-through rates are incomplete. The degree of the exchange rate pass-through is the highest on import prices, moderate on PPI and is the lowest on CPI. In some cases, the pass-through rates on CPI are even negative. The effect of the import price shock is stronger as compared to that of the exchange rate shock in determining the movement of the domestic prices in these countries. Trade openness has a weak correlation with the degree of the exchange rate pass-through.
机译:本文对1997年金融危机前后亚洲四个国家的冲击对国内价格的影响进行了比较实证分析。我们采用两种不同的估算方法,即结构VAR和单方程法。两种方法的结果是一致的,尽管由于两种方法都包含不同的变量,滞后项和不同的假设,所以汇率传递弹性的大小不同。结果表明,随着时间的推移,各国之间的汇率传递程度不同。在大多数情况下,通过率是不完整的。汇率传递的程度在进口价格上最高,在PPI上适中,在CPI上最低。在某些情况下,CPI的通过率甚至为负。在确定这些国家的国内价格变动时,与汇率冲击相比,进口价格冲击的影响更大。贸易开放度与汇率通过的程度具有弱的相关性。

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  • 年度 2008
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  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
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