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Defence firms facing liberalization: innovation and export in an agent-based model of the defence industry

机译:面临自由化的国防公司:基于代理人的国防工业模式的创新和出口

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摘要

The paper presents an agent-based simulation model of the defence industry. The model resembles some of the key characteristics of the European defence sector, and studies how firms in this market will respond to the challenges and opportunities provided by a higher degree of openness and liberalization in the future. The simulation analysis points out that European defence firms will progressively become more efficient, less dependent on public procurement and innovation policy support, and more prone to knowledge sharing and inter-firm collaborations. This firm-level dynamics will in the long-run lead to an increase in the industry’s export propensity and a less concentrated market.
机译:本文提出了一种基于代理的国防工业仿真模型。该模型类似于欧洲国防部门的一些关键特征,并研究了该市场中的公司如何应对未来更高程度的开放和自由化所带来的挑战和机遇。仿真分析指出,欧洲国防公司将逐步提高效率,减少对公共采购和创新政策支持的依赖,并且更倾向于知识共享和企业间合作。从长远来看,这种企业层面的动态将导致该行业的出口倾向增加,市场集中度降低。

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