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Assesing demand in stochastic locational planning problems: An Artificial Intelligence approach for emergency service systems.

机译:评估随机区域规划问题的需求:应急服务系统的人工智能方法。

摘要

The efficiency of emergency service systems is measured in terms of their ability to deploy units and personnel in a timely and effective manner upon an event’s occurrence. Aiming to exploit stochastic demand, spatial tracing andlocation analysis of emergency incidents are examined through the utilisation of Artificial Intelligence in two interacting levels. Firstly, spatio-temporal point pattern of demand is analysed by a new genetic algorithm. The proposed genetic algorithm interrelates sequential eventsformulating moving events and as a result, every demand point pattern is correlated both to previous and following events. Secondly, the approach provides the ability to predict, by means of neural networks optimised by genetic algorithms, how the pattern of demand will evolve and thus location of supplying centres and/or vehicles can be optimally defined. Neural networks provide the basis for a spatio-temporal clustering of demand, definition of therelevant centres, formulation of possible future states of the system and finally, definition of locational strategies for the improvement of the provided services.
机译:紧急服务系统的效率是根据事件发生时及时有效地部署单位和人员的能力来衡量的。为了利用随机需求,在两个相互影响的层次上,通过利用人工智能对紧急事件的空间追踪和位置分析进行了研究。首先,通过一种新的遗传算法分析了需求的时空点模式。所提出的遗传算法将形成运动事件的顺序事件相互关联,结果,每个需求点模式都与之前和之后的事件相关。其次,该方法提供了通过遗传算法优化的神经网络预测需求模式将如何演变的能力,从而可以最佳地定义供应中心和/或车辆的位置。神经网络为需求的时空聚集,相关中心的定义,系统可能的未来状态的制定以及最终为改善所提供服务的位置策略的定义提供了基础。

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  • 年度 2003
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
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