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GMM Estimation of Short Dynamic Panel Data Models With Error Cross-Sectional Dependence

机译:具有误差横截面依赖性的短动态面板数据模型的Gmm估计

摘要

This paper considers the issue of GMM estimation of a short dynamic panel data model when the errors are correlated across individuals. We focus particularly on the conditions required in the cross-sectional dimension of the error process for the dynamic panel GMM estimator to remain consistent. To this end, we demonstrate that cross-sectional independence (or uncorrelatedness) is not necessary - rather, it suffices that, if there is such correlation in the errors, this is weak. We define a stochastic scalar sequence to be cross-sectionally weakly correlated at any given point in time if the sequence of the covariances of the observations across individuals i and j at time t, given the conditioning set of all time-invariant characteristics of individuals i and j, converges absolutely as N grows large. Spatial dependence satisfies this condition but factor structure dependence does not. Consequently, the dynamic panel GMM estimator is consistent only in the first case. Under cross-sectionally weakly correlated errors, an additional, non-redundant, set of moment conditions becomes relevant for each i - specifically, instruments with respect to the individual(s) which unit i is correlated with. We demonstrate that these moment conditions remain valid when the errors are subject to both weak and strong correlations, in which situation the standard moment conditions with respect to individual i itself are invalidated - meaning that the dynamic panel GMM estimator is inconsistent. Simulated experiments show that the resulting method of moments estimators largely outperform the conventional ones in terms of both median bias and root median square error.
机译:当误差在个体之间相关时,本文考虑了短动态面板数据模型的GMM估计问题。我们特别关注动态面板GMM估计器保持一致的误差过程的横截面尺寸所需的条件。为此,我们证明了横截面独立性(或不相关性)不是必需的,而是足够的,如果误差中存在这种相关性,则这是微弱的。如果给定个体i的所有时不变特征的条件集,我们将随机标量序列定义为在任意给定时间点的横截面弱相关,如果在时间t个体i和j上观测值的协方差序列和j,随着N的增大而绝对收敛。空间依赖性满足此条件,但因子结构依赖性不满足。因此,动态面板GMM估算器仅在第一种情况下保持一致。在横截面的弱相关误差下,每个i都需要一组额外的,非冗余的力矩条件,尤其是针对与i相关的个体的仪器。我们证明,当误差同时受到弱相关性和强相关性时,这些矩条件仍然有效,在这种情况下,针对个人i本身的标准矩条件无效了-这意味着动态面板GMM估计器不一致。模拟实验表明,所得的矩估计器方法在中位数偏差和均方根误差方面均大大优于传统方法。

著录项

  • 作者

    Sarafidis Vasilis;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2009
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
  • 中图分类

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