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The Changing Dynamics of the East Asian Real Exchange Rates after the Financial Crisis: Further Evidence on Mean Reversion

机译:金融危机后东亚实际汇率变动动态:均值回归的进一步证据

摘要

Using an improved statistical methodology including tests designed for heterogeneous panels, this paper tests for mean reversion in monthly US Dollar based real exchange rates for nine East Asian countries, including those that were severely affected by the 1997 Asian financial crises. The empirical results reveals mean reversion in real Asian exchange rates is a feature of the post-crises sub-period (1997-2005) but not of the pre-crises sub-period (1981-1996). Additionally, we make a point that a faster speed of convergence to PPP and lower adjustment half-lives for real exchange rates compared to those reported for major industrialized country currencies and especially so for the post-crises period in Asia.
机译:本文使用一种经过改进的统计方法,包括针对不同小组进行的测试,测试了9个东亚国家(包括受1997年亚洲金融危机严重影响的那些国家)的月度基于美元的实际汇率均值回归。实证结果表明,亚洲实际汇率的均值回归是危机后子时期(1997-2005年)的特征,而不是危机前子时期(1981-1996年)的特征。此外,我们指出,与主要工业化国家货币(尤其是亚洲危机后时期)的报告相比,购买力平价的融合速度更快,实际汇率的调整半衰期更低。

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