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The Effect of Salvage Market on Strategic Technology Choice and Capacity Investment Decision of Firm under Demand Uncertainty

机译:挽救市场对需求不确定性下企业战略技术选择和能力投资决策的影响

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摘要

This paper examines the effect of salvage market on strategic technology choice and capacity investment decision of two firms that compete on the amount of output they produce under demand uncertainty. A game theoretic model applies such that in the first stage firms choose their production technology between two alternatives: modular production process (flexible technology) or unified production process (inflexible technology). Then at the second stage they decide on the amount of capacity investment: flexible firm makes decision about general and specific components’ capacity and inflexible firm just about unified component (final product). One stage forward both enter the primary market in which demand is uncertain and play a duopoly Cournot game on the amount of quantity they manufacture and finally at the last stage, flexible firm will be able to sell its unsold general components in the secondary market (salvage market) with a deterministic price. Solving optimization problems of the model results in intractable equations which lead us to employ numerical studies considering a specific probability distribution to observe equilibrium behavior of competing firms. Broad range of parameters with respect to established relationships among them have been examined in order to cover all the possible economically reasonable scenarios. Findings are expressed explicitly in the form of observations where we demonstrate that with symmetric parameterization there is a unique symmetric Nash equilibrium in which both firms choose inflexible technology while applying asymmetric parameters has the potential to form two types of equilibrium when 1. Both firms choose inflexible technology or 2. Only one firm chooses flexible technology. Moreover it is shown that there is a specific unified cost threshold that could shift the equilibrium of the game. Finally we discuss on the case that there is no equilibrium and mention some managerial implications of the model.
机译:本文研究了打捞市场对两家公司在需求不确定性下竞争其产出量竞争的战略技术选择和产能投资决策的影响。应用博弈论模型,以便在第一阶段,公司在两种选择之间选择其生产技术:模块化生产过程(柔性技术)或统一生产过程(非柔性技术)。然后,在第二阶段,他们决定能力投资的数量:灵活的公司决定通用组件和特定组件的能力,而不灵活的公司则决定统一组件(最终产品)。前进阶段既进入需求不确定的主要市场,又在制造数量上玩双头垄断的古诺特游戏,最后在最后一个阶段,柔性公司将能够在二级市场上出售其未售出的一般零件(抢救)市场价格)。解决模型的优化问题会产生难解的方程式,这使我们进行了考虑特定概率分布的数值研究,以观察竞争企业的均衡行为。为了涵盖所有可能的经济合理情况,已经研究了关于它们之间已建立的关系的广泛参数。研究结果以观察的形式明确表示,我们证明对称参数化存在唯一的对称纳什均衡,其中两家公司都选择不灵活的技术,而应用不对称参数则有可能在两种情况下形成两种类型的均衡。技术或2。只有一家公司选择灵活的技术。此外,它表明存在一个特定的统一成本阈值,可以改变博弈的平衡。最后,我们讨论了没有均衡的情况,并提到了该模型的一些管理含义。

著录项

  • 作者

    Kashefi Mohammad Ali;

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  • 年度 2012
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
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