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The energy short fall and its after effects (a case study for Karachi city in context to Karachi electric supply corporation)

机译:能源短缺及其后续影响(卡拉奇市供电公司背景下的卡拉奇市案例研究)

摘要

This paper is an attempt to interrogate and examine the unstoppable short fall of energy which has been paralyzing the life of Karachi for decades. The monthly data for the period of Jan-2009 to Dec-2011 has been interrogated while using the Pearson correlation, Vector Auto regression (VAR) and Tobit model, to conclude the bottom line. The findings reveal that there is a vast difference between the actual demand and actual supply of energy i.e. energy shortfall for the various segments of Karachi city which include house hold and industrial consumptions both, and such overwhelming gap causes Load shedding for every now and then, and made the life of this city even difficult but this load shedding to overcome the stated gap does not reduce it empirically and historically. The paper also confirms that it is the short fall which decides the per unit price of energy use for both the households and industries.
机译:本文试图探究和检验数十年来使卡拉奇生活陷于瘫痪的不可阻挡的短暂能量下降。使用Pearson相关性,向量自动回归(VAR)和Tobit模型,对2009年1月至2011年12月的月度数据进行了调查,以得出底线。调查结果表明,实际的能源需求和实际的能源供应之间存在巨大差异,即卡拉奇市各个部分的能源短缺,其中包括住宅和工业消耗,而这种巨大的差距会导致不时出现负荷下降,甚至使这座城市的生活变得更加艰难,但为克服上述差距而进行的减载并没有从经验和历史上减少它。该文件还证实,正是短期的下降决定了家庭和工业的能源使用单价。

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