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A Non-parametric Approach to Incorporating Incomplete Workouts Into Loss Given Default Estimates

机译:将不完全锻炼纳入损失的非参数方法给定的默认估计

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摘要

When estimating Loss Given Default (LGD) parameters using a workout approach, i.e. discounting cash flows over the workout period, the problem arises of how to take into account partial recoveries from incomplete work-outs. The simplest approach would see LGD based on complete recoveryprofiles only. Whilst simple, this approach may lead to data selection bias, which may be at the basis of regulatory guidance requiring the assessment of the relevance of incomplete workouts to LGD estimation. Despite its importance, few academic contributions have covered this topic. We enhance this literature by developing a non-parametric estimator that -under certain distributional assumptions on the recovery profiles- aggregates complete and incomplete workout data to produce unbiased and more efficient estimates of mean LGD than those obtained from the estimator based on resolved cases only. Our estimator is appropriate in LGD estimation for wholesale portfolios, where the exposure-weighted LGD estimators available in the literature would not be applicable under Basel II regulatory guidance.
机译:当使用锻炼方法来估算默认违约损失(LGD)参数时,即在锻炼期间折现现金流量时,会出现如何考虑不完整锻炼导致的部分回收的问题。最简单的方法是仅基于完整的恢复配置文件查看LGD。虽然简单,但这种方法可能会导致数据选择偏差,这可能是在监管指南的基础上,要求评估不完整锻炼与LGD估计的相关性。尽管它很重要,但很少有学术性文章涵盖此主题。我们通过开发一种非参数估算器来增强该文献-在恢复曲线的某些分布假设下-汇总完整和不完整的锻炼数据以产生比仅基于已解决案例的估算器更公正,更有效的平均LGD估算值。我们的估算器适用于批发投资组合的LGD估算,因为根据巴塞尔协议II的监管指南,文献中可用的加权加权LGD估算器将不适用。

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  • 年度 2010
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
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