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The Puzzle of the Replacement Ratio in the Context of Renewal Theory

机译:更新理论语境中的替代率之谜

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摘要

The models Feldstein and Rothschild (1974) and Jorgenson (1974) adopted to highlight the nature of the replacement ratio were identical. Yet, even though the theorems they derived from them were complementary and reinforced each other, the authors reached diametrically opposite conclusions. Digging deeper into the controversy that erupted, it emerges that the staying power of the theorem, according to which replacement is a constant propor-tion of the outstanding capital stock, may be attributed to the following reasons. The discernible shift from realism to instrumentalism in the methodology of economics; Its operational advantages; The data that accumulated, thus facilitating research without having to compute capital stock series from scratch; The inertia of the status quo, which is sustained by the absence of a process to decide when a theorem is in conflict with experience and should be set aside, and lastly the lack of a model leading to a more useful theorem than the one un-der consideration. In this light it is concluded that the time has come for research efforts to be directed towards constructing and testing models in which the useful life of capital is deter-mined endogenously in the presence of embodied technological change.
机译:Feldstein和Rothschild(1974)和Jorgenson(1974)用来强调替代率的性质的模型是相同的。然而,即使他们从它们得出的定理是互补的并且相互补充,作者还是得出截然相反的结论。深入研究爆发的争议,可以发现,定理的持久力可能归因于以下原因,根据该定理,替换是未偿还资本存量的恒定比例。经济学方法论中从现实主义到工具主义的明显转变;其运营优势;积累的数据,从而有助于研究,而不必从头开始计算资本存量系列;现状的惯性,是由于缺乏确定定理何时与经验冲突的过程而应维持的,应予以搁置,最后,缺乏模型导致比没有一个定理更有用的定理考虑。因此,可以得出结论,现在是将研究努力指向构建和测试模型的时候了,在这种模型中,在具体体现的技术变革面前内生地决定了资本的使用寿命。

著录项

  • 作者

    Bitros George C.;

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  • 年度 2010
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
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