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A Simple Interest Rate Model with Unobserved Components: The Role of the Interbank Reference Rate

机译:具有未观察到的成分的简单利率模型:银行间参考利率的作用

摘要

In this study, we theoretically investigate the potential role of the reference rate in stabilizing or destabilizing an interbank market with an environment where individual banks cannot fully identify the nature of underlying shocks affecting their interbank transactions. We show that a noise-free reference rate based on a sufficient number of sample transactions can help to make the market interest rate less volatile, whereas the stabilizing effects of the reference rate are significantly reduced if the reported interest rates contain some noisy components. Nevertheless, by increasing the number of sample transactions reflected in the reference rate, the adverse effects of the noise can be mitigated (or eliminated) provided the noise is idiosyncratic to individual transactions. However, if the noise is common to multiple transactions, then the adverse effects of the noisy reference rate cannot be reduced simply by increasing the number of sample transactions. This suggests that the noise in the interest rates reported by just a few of large banks can end up making the entire market more volatile, thereby impairing the transmission mechanism of monetary policy.
机译:在这项研究中,我们在理论上研究了基准利率在稳定或破坏银行间市场的环境中的潜在作用,其中个别银行无法完全确定影响其银行间交易的潜在冲击的性质。我们表明,基于足够数量的样本交易的无噪声参考利率可以帮助使市场利率波动性降低,而如果报告的利率包含一些嘈杂成分,则参考利率的稳定效应将大大降低。但是,通过增加参考汇率中反映的样本交易的数量,可以降低(或消除)噪声的不利影响,前提是该噪声对于各个交易是特质的。但是,如果噪声对于多个事务而言是共同的,那么仅通过增加样本事务的数量就无法减少嘈杂参考率的不利影响。这表明,只有少数大型银行报告的利率噪音最终可能会使整个市场更加动荡,从而削弱货币政策的传导机制。

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    Muto Ichiro;

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  • 年度 2012
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
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