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Modeling hourly Electricity Spot Market Prices as non stationary functional times series

机译:每小时电力现货市场价格模型作为非固定功能时间序列

摘要

The instantaneous nature of electricity distinguishes its spot prices from spot prices for equities and other commodities. Up to now electricity cannot be stored economically and therefore demand for electricity has an untempered effect on electricity prices. In particular, hourly electricity spot prices show a vast range of dynamics which can change rapidly. In this paper we introduce a robust version of functional principal component analysis for sparse data. The functional perspective interprets spot prices as functions of demand for electricity and allows to estimate a single price curve for each day. Variations in market fundamentals such as commodity prices are absorbed by the first principal components.
机译:电力的瞬时性质将其现货价格与股票和其他商品的现货价格区分开。到目前为止,电力还不能经济地存储,因此电力需求对电价没有大的影响。特别是,每小时的电现货价格显示出很大的动态,可以迅速变化。在本文中,我们介绍了针对稀疏数据的功能主成分分析的强大版本。功能视角将现货价格解释为电力需求的函数,并允许估计每天的单一价格曲线。市场基本面的变化,例如商品价格,被第一主要成分吸收。

著录项

  • 作者

    Liebl Dominik;

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  • 年度 2010
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
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