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Best-of-Three Contest Experiments: Strategic versus Psychological Momentum

机译:三个最佳比赛实验:战略与心理动力

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摘要

We conduct an experimental analysis of a best-of-three contest. Intermediate prizes lead to higher efforts, while increasing the role of luck (as opposed to effort) leads to lower efforts. Both intermediate prizes and luck reduce the probability of contest ending in two rounds. The patterns of players’ efforts and the probability that a contest ends in two rounds are consistent with ‘strategic momentum’, i.e., momentum generated due to strategic incentives inherent in the contest. We do not find evidence for ‘psychological momentum’, i.e., momentum which emerges when winning affects players’ confidence. Similar to previous studies of contests, we find significantly higher efforts than predicted and strong heterogeneity in effort between subjects.
机译:我们对三项最佳比赛进行了实验分析。中奖会导致更高的努力,而增加运气(而不是努力)的作用会导致更低的努力。中奖和运气都会降低比赛在两轮比赛中结束的可能性。球员的努力方式和比赛在两轮比赛中结束的可能性与“战略势头”(即比赛固有的战略激励产生的势头)一致。我们找不到“心理动量”的证据,即获胜时出现的动量会影响玩家的信心。与以前的竞赛研究类似,我们发现受试者的努力明显高于预期,并且受试者之间的努力具有很强的异质性。

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