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Determinants of West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ)countries global export trade: do foreign reserves and independent exchange rates matter?

机译:西非货币区(WamZ)国家全球出口贸易的决定因素:外汇储备和独立汇率是否重要?

摘要

This study examines the effect of independent exchange rate pursuits and reserve holdings, relative to other determinants, on global export performance of WAMZ countries. The regression results show that exports originating from the Zone to the rest of the world are influenced positively by domestic output, export prices and exchange rate devaluations, but negatively by import price and economic performance of the major global trading partner, proxied by the US GDP. This result is not universal as the Gambia, Ghana and Guinea total exports functions show that exchange rate policy penalized exports contrary to the Nigerian case in which the coefficient estimate is significant and positive. The study infers that these results are consistent with theoretical expectation given the ironical divergence in export basket. Although they are all primary commodity exporters, Nigeria’s exports is mainly crude oil, and a priori expectation is that rapid economic growth or booms in the US should lead to increased demand for energy (healthy competitions). In conclusion, the study infers that since independent flexible exchange rate policy pursuits and reserve holdings makes no difference to the Zonal export performance ex ante, but have great potential for global exports collectively, they could explore an OCA to enhance both intra- and global inter-regional export trade
机译:这项研究检验了相对于其他决定因素而言,独立汇率追逐和储备持有量对WAMZ国家全球出口绩效的影响。回归结果显示,从该区域到世界其他地区的出口受到国内产出,出口价格和汇率贬值的积极影响,但受到主要全球贸易伙伴的进口价格和经济表现的不利影响,受美国GDP的影响。这个结果并不普遍,因为冈比亚,加纳和几内亚的总出口函数表明,汇率政策对出口构成了惩罚,这与尼日利亚的情况相反,在尼日利亚的情况下,系数估计值是显着且为正的。鉴于出口篮子中的讽刺性分歧,研究推断这些结果与理论预期相符。尽管它们都是主要的初级商品出口国,但尼日利亚的出口主要是原油,因此人们事先认为,经济的快速增长或美国的繁荣将导致对能源的需求增加(健康竞争)。总之,该研究推断,由于独立的灵活汇率政策追求和储备储备对区域性出口绩效没有任何影响,但是具有集体发展全球出口潜力的潜力,因此他们可以探索OCA来增强内部和全球相互影响。地区出口贸易

著录项

  • 作者

    Balogun Emmanuel Dele;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2009
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
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