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The Permanent and Transitory Effects on Consumption and Income: Evidence from the Turkish Economy

机译:对消费和收入的永久和暂时影响:来自土耳其经济的证据

摘要

This paper, using the Turkish data, employs a VAR model to decompose permanent and transitory shocks on consumption and income. Pistoresi (1997), using USA data, reaches an empirical result that the permanent part of private consumption explains the much of the variance of series, whereas that of income explains the less of variance of series. Corugeda, Price and Blake (2007), using the UK data, have the conclusion that permanent shocks are the dominant effects on variances of consumption and income. Data used for this study is obtained from the Turkish Central Bank EDDS and ranges from 1987:1 to 2006:3. The paper first searches the evidence for consumption literature, then, after monitoring the unit root and seasonality analyses, runs impulse responses and variance decompositions through VAR analyses. At the end of this study, one can reach the relative importance of permanent and transitory impacts on private consumption and GDP of the Turkish Economy.
机译:本文利用土耳其的数据,采用VAR模型来分解对消费和收入的永久性和暂时性冲击。 Pistoresi(1997)使用美国的数据得出的经验结果是,私人消费的永久性部分解释了序列方差的大部分,而收入的解释了序列差异的少。根据英国的数据,Corugeda,Price和Blake(2007)得出的结论是,永久性冲击是对消费和收入差异的主要影响。本研究使用的数据来自土耳其中央银行EDDS,范围为1987:1至2006:3。本文首先搜索了消费文献的证据,然后在监视单位根和季节性分析后,通过VAR分析进行脉冲响应和方差分解。这项研究结束时,可以得出相对长期的影响对土耳其经济的私人消费和GDP的相对重要性。

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    Bilgili Faik;

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  • 年度 2007
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  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
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