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Monetary Policy under Rule-of-Thumb Consumers and External Habits: An International Empirical Comparison

机译:经验法则下的货币政策与外部习惯:国际实证比较

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摘要

This paper develops a simple New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model with rule-of-thumb consumers and external habits. Our theoretical model has a closed-form solution which allows the analytical derivation of its dynamical and stability properties. These properties are analyzed and discussed in the light of their implications for the efficacy and the calibration of the conduct of the monetary policy. The model is then evaluated empirically, employing numerical simulations based on Monte Carlo Bayesian estimates of the structural parameters and impulse response analyses based on weakly identified SVECMs. The estimates are repeated for each of the G7 national economies. Providing single country estimates and simulations, we derive some indications on the relative efficacy of monetary policy and of its potential asymmetric effects resulting from the heterogeneity of the estimated models.
机译:本文建立了一个简单的新凯恩斯主义动态随机一般均衡(DSGE)模型,该模型具有经验法则和外部习惯。我们的理论模型具有封闭形式的解决方案,可以通过解析推导得出其动态和稳定性。这些属性将根据其对货币政策效力和校准的影响进行分析和讨论。然后,使用基于结构参数的蒙特卡洛贝叶斯估计的数值模拟和基于弱识别的SVECM的脉冲响应分析,对模型进行经验评估。七国集团(G7)的每个国民经济都重复了估算。提供单个国家的估计和模拟,我们得出有关货币政策相对效力及其因估计模型异质性而导致的潜在不对称影响的一些迹象。

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