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The effect of exchange rate on shrimp export from Vietnam to the U.S

机译:汇率对越南对美出口虾的影响

摘要

A partial adjustment model of the U.S excess demand for Vietnamese shrimp is constructed to investigate the effect of the real bilateral exchange rate VND/USD on the U.S import of Vietnamese shrimp. Monthly data were collected from 2002:03 to 2011:12 for model development. The study found that the real appreciation of VND against USD has no effects on the U.S import quantity demanded for Vietnamese shrimp both in the short-run and the long-run. Therefore, Vietnamese government should not use exchange rate as a long-run tool to promote the Vietnamese shrimp to the U.S. However, it is found that the U.S import prices for Thai, Chinese and Indonesian shrimps have both short-run and long-run effects on the U.S demand for Vietnamese shrimps while the U.S import price for Indian shrimp has short-run effects only. Among them, the long-run effects of Thai price (-5.36) and Indonesian price (5.18) on Vietnamese shrimp export to the U.S are the largest ones. To develop the sustainable shrimp export, Vietnamese governors are encouraged to take priority over promoting the exportation of high quality, clean and diversified products, improving the competitiveness of Vietnamese shrimp in the U.S market.
机译:构建了美国对越南虾过剩需求的部分调整模型,以研究实际双边汇率VND / USD对美国进口越南对虾的影响。从2002:03到2011:12收集每月数据以进行模型开发。研究发现,越南盾兑美元的实际升值对短期和长期越南虾的美国进口量没有影响。因此,越南政府不应将汇率作为长期工具将越南虾推向美国。但是,发现美国对泰国,中国和印度尼西亚虾的进口价格具有短期和长期影响取决于美国对越南虾的需求,而美国对印度虾的进口价格仅具有短期影响。其中,泰国价格(-5.36)和印度尼西亚价格(5.18)对越南虾对美出口的长期影响最大。为了发展对虾的可持续出口,鼓励越南总督将优先事项放在促进高质量,清洁和多样化产品的出口上,以提高越南虾在美国市场上的竞争力。

著录项

  • 作者

    Tran Thuý Chi;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2012
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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