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Stability and Profitability in the Chinese Banking Industry: evidence from an auto-regressive-distributed linear specification

机译:中国银行业的稳定性和盈利性:来自自回归分布式线性规范的证据

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摘要

The important role played by the Chinese commercial banks in the development of China’s economy makes the government and banking regulatory authority give great concern about the performance of Chinese commercial banks, while the stability in the banking sector, without any doubt, has attracted greater attention since the financial crisis during 2007 and 2009. The principal objective of this study is to investigate the inter-relationships between profitability and stability in the Chinese banking industry. Using a sample of Chinese commercial banks over the period 2003-2013, the current study examines the inter-relationships under an auto-regressive-distributed linear model. With regard to the measurement of stability, both Z-score and stability inefficiency were used, while Return on Assets (ROA) was used as the indicator of profitability. In terms of the econometric methods, the current study used different types of Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimators including difference GMM, one-step system GMM, two-step system GMM as well as two-step robust GMM. In order to the check the robustness of the results, alternative econometric techniques were used such as ordinary least square (OLS) estimator, between effect estimator as well as fixed effect estimator. The results show that higher insolvency risk/lower bank stability leads to higher profitability of Chinese commercial banks and also that higher profitability leads to higher bank fragility.
机译:中国商业银行在中国经济发展中所起的重要作用使政府和银行监管当局高度关注中国商业银行的业绩,而毫无疑问,自那时以来,银行业的稳定无疑引起了更多关注。本文主要研究2007年和2009年的金融危机。本研究的主要目的是研究中国银行业的盈利能力与稳定性之间的相互关系。本研究使用2003-2013年间的中国商业银行样本,研究了自回归分布线性模型下的相互关系。关于稳定性的度量,同时使用Z分数和稳定性低效率,而资产收益率(ROA)用作获利能力的指标。在计量经济学方法方面,当前的研究使用了不同类型的广义矩量(GMM)估计器,包括差值GMM,一步系统GMM,两步系统GMM以及两步鲁棒GMM。为了检查结果的稳健性,使用了替代计量经济学技术,例如普通最小二乘(OLS)估计器,效果估计器与固定效果估计器之间的估计器。结果表明,较高的破产风险/较低的银行稳定性会导致中国商业银行的盈利能力较高,而较高的盈利能力则会导致银行的脆弱性更高。

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  • 作者

    Tan Aaron Yong; Anchor J.R;

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  • 年度 2016
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  • 正文语种 en
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