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Educating the Guess: Strategies, Concepts and Tools for the Fuzzy Front End of Product Development

机译:教育猜测:产品开发模糊前端的策略,概念和工具

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摘要

Many companies lack efficient management of the early phases of new product development (NPD) - the socalled fuzzy front end (FFE). Rather than on structured methods, decision makers rely on ?gut ?feel? or ?guessing?. In an attempt to ?educate the guess? this paper discusses the activities and challenges of the FFE, as well as strategies to manage them successfully. It then briefly presents traditional and recent approaches to front-end management support. Based on the identified strengths and weaknesses of existing front-end solutions, the framework of a new management support system for the FFE is presented. Conceptually, the system is based on psychological findings about the process of action-regulation in complex decision environments. Methodologically, it uses Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCM) for modeling and simulation.
机译:许多公司缺乏对新产品开发(NPD)早期阶段-所谓的模糊前端(FFE)的有效管理。决策者不是依靠结构化的方法,而是要依靠“感觉”?或“猜测”。试图“猜测”?本文讨论了FFE的活动和挑战,以及成功管理它们的策略。然后简要介绍了前端管理支持的传统方法和最新方法。基于已识别的现有前端解决方案的优缺点,提出了针对FFE的新管理支持系统的框架。从概念上讲,该系统基于有关复杂决策环境中动作调节过程的心理发现。从方法上讲,它使用模糊认知图(FCM)进行建模和仿真。

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    Jetter Antonie J.;

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  • 年度 2003
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