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A sovereign wealth fund to lift Germany's curse of excess savings. CEPS Policy Brief No. 280, 28 August 2012

机译:一个主权财富基金,旨在解除德国过度储蓄的诅咒。 CEps政策简报第280号,2012年8月28日

摘要

As an alternative to the present system of intermediation of the German savings surplus, this paper suggests that the risk-adjusted rate of return could be improved by creating a sovereign wealth fund for Germany (designated DESWF), which could invest excess German savings globally. Such a DESWF would offer German savers a secure vehicle paying a guaranteed positive minimum real interest rate, with a top-up when real investment returns allowed. The vehicle would invest the funds in a portfolio that is highly diversified by geography and asset classes. Positive real returns can be expected in the long run based on positive real global growth. Since, in this case, a significant amount of funds would flow outside the euro area, the euro would depreciate, which would help crisis countries presently struggling to revive growth through exports and to close their external deficits so as to recoup their international credit-worthiness. Target imbalances would gradually disappear and German claims abroad would move from nominal claims on the ECB to diversified real and nominal claims on various private and public foreign entities in a variety of asset classes.
机译:作为对德国储蓄盈余的现行中介系统的替代方案,本文建议,可以通过为德国建立主权财富基金(称为DESWF)来提高风险调整后的回报率,该基金可以在全球范围内投资德国的多余储蓄。这样的DESWF可以为德国储户提供一种安全的工具,可以支付保证的正的最低实际利率,并在允许实际投资回报时进行充值。该工具会将资金投资于按地理位置和资产类别高度分散的投资组合。从长期来看,在全球实际正增长的基础上,可以期待实际正收益。由于在这种情况下,大量资金将流向欧元区以外,因此欧元将贬值,这将有助于当前正在努力通过出口来恢复增长并弥合其外部赤字的危机国家,以弥补其国际信誉。 。目标失衡将逐渐消失,德国在国外的债权将从对欧洲央行的名义债权转向对各种资产类别的各种私人和公共外国实体的多样化的实际和名义债权。

著录项

  • 作者

    Gros Daniel.; Mayer Thomas;

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  • 年度 2012
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
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  • 入库时间 2022-08-20 21:04:44

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