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Effects of speed limit enforcement cameras on accident rates

机译:限速执法摄像机对事故率的影响

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摘要

Speed limit enforcement cameras (SLECs) have been in operation in Great Britain since 1991. However, there is still considerable dispute regarding their effectiveness in reducing accident rates. The aim of this research was to analyze the effects of SLECs on accident rates in Cambridgeshire,United Kingdom, using time series data collected over an 11- year period. A time series analysis of the accident data revealed the presence of both trend and seasonality components. A method was developed to remove the influence of these two components from the data and compare mean accident levels before and after installation of the camera. The method was also constructed in such a way that it would be able to distinguish between the actual effects of the camera installation and the effects of regression to the mean. The initial investigation into the effects of SLECs showed an average decrease over sites in the monthly accident frequency by around 18%; a more detailed analysis suggested that the best approximation of the effect of the introduction of a SLEC is a decrease in injury accidents by 31.26%, thus giving clear evidence that SLECs do indeed contribute to a significant decrease in accident numbers.
机译:限速执法摄像机(SLEC)自1991年以来一直在英国投入使用。但是,在降低事故发生率方面,其有效性仍然存在很大争议。这项研究的目的是使用11年期间收集的时间序列数据来分析SLEC对英国剑桥郡事故率的影响。对事故数据进行时间序列分析后发现趋势和季节性因素均存在。开发了一种方法来从数据中删除这两个组件的影响,并比较摄像机安装前后的平均事故水平。该方法的构建方式也使其能够区分摄像头安装的实际效果和回归均值的效果。对SLEC的影响的初步调查显示,每月发生事故的地点平均减少了约18%。更详细的分析表明,引入SLEC的效果的最佳近似值是伤害事故减少了31.26%,因此提供了明确的证据表明SLEC确实确实有助于减少事故数量。

著录项

  • 作者

    Hess S; Polak JW;

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  • 年度 2007
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
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