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Buying Wins: the Role of Salary in on Field Success in the MLB and NFL

机译:购买胜利:薪酬在mLB和NFL的场上成功中的作用

摘要

Many sports purists maintain that in order to win, teams must have the right components and chemistry. Simply paying the best players the most money should not guarantee a championship, right? While having the right players with good chemistry certainly is important, what is the actual impact a team’s salary has on its success? This research attempts to answer that question and what effects different salary regulations have on competitive balance in Major League Baseball and the National Football League.One of the theories used to discourage the ability to buy championships is the salary cap. A salary cap is an agreement between leagues, owners, and the player’s union that places a limit on the amount of money that one team can spend on player salaries. Salary caps are implemented to keep costs down and promote parity between teams. Salary regulations vary between leagues. The NFL and the MLB are on the opposite ends of the spectrum when it comes to their salary rules. The NFL implemented a hard salary cap and floor in 1994 which adjusts for profits each year. On the other hand, the MLB introduced a luxury tax in 2003. A luxury tax is imposed on teams whose total payroll exceeds an amount determined annually.The first hypothesis the paper tests is that a team’s salary has a positive effect on regular season wins but not championships, in this case World Series and Super Bowls. There will be a positive relationship between salary and regular season wins, where there are more games played so less opportunity for upsets and out of the ordinary results, as opposed to a playoff format which are determined in sudden death games and series. The teams with the best record make the playoffs, once the playoffs start the nature of the games change. Instead of measuring who is the better team out of 16 in the case of the NFL or 162 games in the MLB, playoffs are reduced to 1 game and a 7 game series which increases the odds of upset.The second hypothesis is that the MLB will have a higher relationship between salary and wins than the NFL. Because there is no regulation on salary in the MLB, the teams that spend the most will win the most games. In the case of the NFL and a hard salary cap, the teams that spend the most do not necessarily win the most games.The last hypothesis is that a hard salary cap does increase parity in the league while a luxury tax does not. In the NFL, wins have been spread more evenly throughout all the teams in the league and there has not been long standing dynasties winning multiple championships in a row. Judging baseball from 1994-2003 when there was no salary rules and 2003-2013 with the presence of a luxury tax, we will see that there is a minimal effect on parity, that the teams with the highest salaries will have a majority of wins.
机译:许多运动主义者坚持认为,要赢得比赛,车队必须拥有正确的组成和化学作用。仅仅向最好的球员支付最多的钱就不能保证获得冠军,对吧?尽管拥有合适的球员并拥有良好的化学素质当然很重要,但一支球队的薪水对其成功有何实际影响?这项研究试图回答这个问题,以及不同的工资规定对美国职棒大联盟和国家橄榄球联盟的比赛平衡有什么影响。用来限制购买冠军的能力的一种理论是工资上限。薪金上限是联盟,所有者和球员工会之间的一项协议,该协议限制了一支球队可以在球员薪金上花费的金额。实行工资帽以降低成本并促进团队之间的平等。薪水规定因联盟而异。 NFL和MLB在薪资规则上处于相反的位置。 NFL在1994年实行了硬性工资上限和下限,并根据每年的利润进行调整。另一方面,美国职业棒球大联盟(MLB)在2003年开始征收奢侈税。对工资总额超过每年确定的金额的球队征收奢侈税。本文检验的第一个假设是,一支球队的薪水对常规赛获胜有积极影响,但不是冠军,在这种情况下是世界大赛和超级碗。薪水和常规赛胜利之间将存在正向关系,在这种情况下,打更多的比赛,因此发生翻翻和异常结果的机会更少,这与突然死亡比赛和系列赛确定的季后赛形式相反。季后赛开始后,战绩最好的球队进入季后赛。在NFL或MLB的162场比赛中,不是衡量谁是16队中更好的球队,而是将季后赛减少为1场比赛和7场系列赛,这增加了不满的几率。第二个假设是MLB将薪水和胜利之间的关系比NFL高。因为美国职业棒球大联盟没有工资方面的规定,所以花费最多的球队将赢得最多的比赛。对于NFL和硬工资帽来说,花费最多的球队不一定赢得最多比赛。最后一个假设是硬工资帽确实会增加联盟的平价而奢侈税却没有。在美国国家橄榄球联盟(NFL)中,胜利在整个联盟中的所有球队中分配得更加均匀,而且没有悠久的历代王朝连续获得多个冠军。从1994年至2003年没有薪水规则的棒球以及2003年至2013年有奢侈税的棒球来看,我们将看到对平价的影响最小,薪水最高的球队将获得多数胜利。

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    Bredemeyer Jake;

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