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Coping with drought risk: empirical analysis of farmers' drought adaptatino in the south-west Netherlands

机译:应对干旱风险:荷兰西南部农民干旱适应性的实证分析

摘要

Climate change projections show that periods of droughts are likely to increase, causing decreasing water availability, salinization, and consequently farm income loss in the south-west Netherlands. Adaptation is the key to decrease a farmer's drought vulnerability and to secure the agricultural sector's performance at the aggregate level. Possible adaptation strategies include responses at the field scale, farm-level measures and joint adaptation measures. Using the results of a recent survey, we explore farmers' adaptive behaviour to drought. We give detailed insight into the influence of risk appraisal and coping appraisal factors on the current level of farmers' adaptation motivation and the adoption of three types of adaptive responses. Our findings show that behavioural factors make a significant contribution to explain the actual level of farmers' adaptation motivation.
机译:气候变化预测表明,干旱时期可能会增加,从而导致荷兰西南部的水资源供应减少,盐碱化减少,进而导致农业收入损失。适应是减少农民干旱脆弱性并确保农业部门总体表现的关键。可能的适应策略包括实地规模的响应,农场一级的措施和联合适应措施。利用最近的调查结果,我们探索了农民对干旱的适应行为。我们对风险评估和应对评估因素对当前农民适应动机水平的影响以及采用三种类型的适应性应对措施进行了详细的分析。我们的研究结果表明,行为因素对解释农民适应动机的实际水平做出了重要贡献。

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