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Meta-analysis: why do citizens vote (or abstain) in national elections

机译:荟萃分析:为什么公民在全国选举中投票(或投弃权票)

摘要

The question why people choose to vote or abstain in national elections has been extensively researched in the past decades. Yet, disagreement over what drives citizens to the polls persists. Literally, over a 100 different explanatory factors have been linked to the individual's decision to vote or abstain: ranging from individual characteristics like education, age and political interest, to socialization by friends and parents, to characteristics of the election-like political competition, and many more. Slowly, but surely, it has become difficult to see the wood for the trees. In the research project that we describe in this article, we wanted to take a step back and summarize where we stand and what we know about turnout. To this end, we carried out a meta-analysis of 90 empirical studies of individual-level voter turnout in national elections between 2000 and 2010. This allowed us to identify which variables are consistently linked to turnout, and which are not. In this article, we describe what meta-analysis is and give an example of how to carry out meta-analysis by describing our research project on turnout.
机译:在过去的几十年中,人们广泛研究了人们为什么选择在大选中投票还是弃权。然而,关于驱使公民参加民意测验的分歧仍然存在。从字面上看,有100多种不同的解释因素与个人的投票或弃权决定有关:从教育,年龄和政治兴趣的个人特征到朋友和父母的社交化,到类似于选举的政治竞争的特征,以及还有很多。慢慢地,但是肯定地,已经很难看到树木所用的木头了。在本文描述的研究项目中,我们想退后一步,总结一下我们的立场以及对投票率的了解。为此,我们对2000年至2010年全国大选中个人级别选民投票率的90个实证研究进行了荟萃分析。这使我们能够确定哪些变量与投票率始终相关,哪些变量与投票率无关。在本文中,我们描述了什么是荟萃分析,并通过描述我们对道岔的研究项目来举例说明如何进行荟萃分析。

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