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Monetary policy rules in the pre-EMU era: Is there a common rule?

机译:前动车组时代的货币政策规则:是否存在共同规则?

摘要

Despite the great importance and final success of the convergence process that led to the establishment of the European Monetary Union, there is no clear agreement regarding the monetary policy pursued in the member countries during the convergence process. This paper contributes to the literature with an empirical analysis of the period from 1993 to 1998 that encompasses eleven EMU countries. In particular, Taylor type interest rate rules are estimated with monthly national data to find that, despite certain similarities and exceptions, the rule followed by each country is distinct and differs substantially from the standard Taylor rule. However, for most countries, the parameter estimates reflect the principles proclaimed by the monetary policy authorities and, in addition, it is shown that in most cases the estimated rules reproduce the policy setting quite closely.
机译:尽管汇聚过程的重要性和最终成功导致了欧洲货币联盟的成立,但在汇聚过程中成员国之间实行的货币政策仍未达成明确协议。本文对包括11个EMU国家在内的1993年至1998年这一时期进行了实证分析,为文献做出了贡献。特别是,使用每月的国家数据估算泰勒类型的利率规则,以发现尽管有某些相似之处和例外,但每个国家遵循的规则是不同的,并且与标准泰勒规则大不相同。但是,对于大多数国家而言,参数估计值反映了货币政策当局所宣布的原则,此外,还表明,在大多数情况下,估计规则非常接近地再现了政策设置。

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