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Managing financial crises in emerging market economies - experience with the involvement of private sector creditors

机译:管理新兴市场经济体的金融危机 - 私营部门债权人参与的经验

摘要

Ensuring the involvement of private sector creditors in the resolution of sovereign debt crises is crucial to ensure an effective management and orderly resolution of those crises. A review of experience gained in past financial crises suggests that crisis management practices have been largely following a case-by-case approach. This has led to some uncertainty about how the official sector addresses different types of crises, which in turn might partially account for the very mixed results achieved so far. From a global welfare perspective, the resolution of international financial crises is too costly and takes too long. Efforts to improve predictability of crisis resolution processes u2013 through guiding debtor, creditor and official sector behaviour u2013 could lower overall costs of such crises and bring about a better distribution of these costs. Past experience with such private sector involvement shows that, in certain cases, existing instruments have successfully contributed to minimising the economic disruptions caused by crises. However, the effective use of these instruments requires predictable and strong commitment of all parties involved. Key variables in that regard are the countryu2019s economic fundamentals and its track record prior to the crisis, underscoring the importance of effective surveillance and crisis prevention. Success also hinges on the countryu2019s resolve to implement necessary domestic adjustment measures. A transparent process providing for early dialogue between a debtor and its creditors also facilitates private sector involvement. Finally, the IMF plays a key role in crisis situations, as accurate and timely diagnosis by the IMF helps identify at an early stage the need for private sector involvement.
机译:确保私营部门债权人参与解决主权债务危机对于确保有效管理和有序解决这些危机至关重要。回顾过去的金融危机中获得的经验表明,危机管理做法在很大程度上是逐案处理的。这导致了对官方部门如何应对不同类型危机的不确定性,这又可能部分解释了迄今为止取得的非常复杂的结果。从全球福利的角度来看,解决国际金融危机的成本太高,花费的时间也太长。通过指导债务人,债权人和官方部门的行为来提高危机解决程序的可预测性的努力可以降低此类危机的总体成本,并更好地分配这些成本。过去在私营部门参与下的经验表明,在某些情况下,现有文书已成功地有助于最大程度地减少危机造成的经济破坏。但是,有效使用这些工具需要所有有关方面作出可预见的坚定承诺。在这方面,关键变量是该国的经济基本面及其在危机发生前的记录,从而强调了有效监督和预防危机的重要性。成功与否取决于该国执行必要的国内调整措施的决心。透明的程序规定了债务人与其债权人之间的早期对话,也促进了私营部门的参与。最后,国际货币基金组织在危机局势中起着关键作用,因为国际货币基金组织的准确及时诊断有助于及早发现私营部门参与的需求。

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